Pennsylvania Full Analysis

9/10

Viability Score

10/10

Urgency Score

8/10

Infrastructure

159

DNC Delegates

House / Assembly

102

Dem

101

GOP

Dem ControlMajority: 102 seats

Senate

22

Dem

28

GOP

GOP ControlMajority: 26 seats

Path to Power

Seats from Majority

✓ Have it

Seats from Trifecta

+4

Strategic Context

102-101 House - 1 seat majority! Summer Lee congressional. Shapiro popular governor. Must defend AND expand.

Path to Victory

Lock down HD-72, HD-144, HD-172. Begin Senate offensive in Lehigh Valley and Pittsburgh suburbs.

Key Target Districts

HD-72

+0.5%

MUST HOLD - razor thin

Delaware County

HD-144

+0.8%

MUST HOLD

Bucks County

HD-172

+1.1%

Defense priority

Philadelphia suburbs

SD-15

-3.2%

Senate flip target

Lehigh Valley

SD-37

-4.5%

Senate expansion

Pittsburgh suburbs

Organizing Infrastructure

Labor Unions

  • SEIU PA
  • AFSCME
  • Philadelphia AFL-CIO
  • Steelworkers

Grassroots Orgs

  • PA Stands Up
  • One PA
  • Reclaim Philadelphia

Key Organizations

  • PA Stands Up
  • Reclaim Philadelphia
  • Pittsburgh United

DSA Presence

Active DSA Chapter

Risk Factors

  • 1-seat majority extremely fragile
  • Any vacancy = tied chamber
  • Philadelphia turnout dependency