New York Full Analysis

10/10

Viability Score

10/10

Urgency Score

10/10

Infrastructure

268

DNC Delegates

House / Assembly

103

Dem

47

GOP

Dem ControlMajority: 76 seats

Senate

41

Dem

22

GOP

Dem ControlMajority: 32 seats

Path to Power

Seats from Majority

✓ Have it

Seats from Supermajority

+1

Seats from Trifecta

✓ Have it

Strategic Context

307 DNC delegates (#2 in nation). 9 DSA legislators. Zohran Mamdani historic victory. Good Cause Eviction PASSED. 1 Senate seat from supermajority.

Path to Victory

Win SD-4 and SD-38 for supermajority. Expand DSA caucus. Pass NY Health Act with supermajority.

Key Target Districts

SD-4

-2.1%

Supermajority target

Long Island swing

SD-38

-3.5%

Supermajority target

Hudson Valley

SD-1

-4.2%

Expansion

Eastern Long Island

AD-STATEWIDE

DSA expansion

Target 5+ more DSA seats

Organizing Infrastructure

Labor Unions

  • 1199SEIU (300K+ members)
  • UFT
  • NYSUT
  • CWA
  • TWU

Grassroots Orgs

  • NYC-DSA
  • Make the Road NY
  • New York Working Families Party

Key Organizations

  • NYC-DSA
  • WFP NY
  • Make the Road
  • New York Communities for Change

DSA Presence

Active DSA Chapter

9 DSA-endorsed legislators

Risk Factors

  • Hochul moderation
  • Long Island swing right
  • NYC crime narrative