North Carolina Full Analysis

7/10

Viability Score

8/10

Urgency Score

7/10

Infrastructure

116

DNC Delegates

House / Assembly

49

Dem

71

GOP

GOP ControlMajority: 61 seats

Senate

19

Dem

31

GOP

GOP ControlMajority: 26 seats

Path to Power

Seats from Majority

+12

Seats from Trifecta

+19

Strategic Context

BROKE GOP House supermajority (71-49)! Governor Stein can now sustain vetoes. 1 Senate seat from breaking Senate supermajority.

Path to Victory

Protect House gains. Target SD-11 and SD-18 to break Senate supermajority. Triangle + Charlotte coalition.

Key Target Districts

HD-35

-0.5%

Closest flip

Wake County

HD-105

-1.8%

Charlotte expansion

Mecklenburg

SD-18

-2.5%

Senate priority

Guilford County

SD-11

-3.2%

Supermajority breaker

Wake County

Organizing Infrastructure

Labor Unions

  • NC Association of Educators
  • SEIU NC

Grassroots Orgs

  • Democracy NC
  • Down Home NC
  • NC Black Alliance

Key Organizations

  • Democracy NC
  • Down Home NC
  • Blueprint NC

DSA Presence

No DSA Chapter

Risk Factors

  • Gerrymandered maps
  • Rural losses
  • GOP Senate supermajority can override vetoes