10/10
Viability Score
10/10
Urgency Score
9/10
Infrastructure
117
DNC Delegates
House / Assembly
52
Dem
58
GOP
GOP ControlMajority: 56 seats
Senate
20
Dem
18
GOP
Dem ControlMajority: 20 seats
Path to Power
Seats from Majority
+4
Seats from Trifecta
+4
Strategic Context
Lost historic trifecta in 2024 by razor-thin margins. Right-to-work repeal (2023) energized labor. Whitmer term-limited 2026 - critical year.
Path to Victory
Mobilize UAW + Detroit turnout. Target HD-44 (79 votes!), HD-27, HD-31. Tie to economic populism and reproductive rights.
Key Target Districts
HD-44
-79 votesCRITICAL - 79 vote loss
Closest race in state, recount territory
HD-27
-3.2%High priority flip
Suburban swing district
HD-31
-4.1%Winnable with turnout
Labor-friendly district
HD-82
-5%Trending Dem
College town area
HD-56
-3.8%Open seat opportunity
2026 open seat expected
Organizing Infrastructure
Labor Unions
- UAW (300K members)
- SEIU
- AFT Michigan
- Teamsters
Grassroots Orgs
- Michigan United
- We The People Michigan
- Progress Michigan
Key Organizations
- UAW
- Detroit Action
- Michigan Liberation
DSA Presence
Active DSA Chapter
Risk Factors
- •Trump enthusiasm in rural areas
- •Whitmer not on ballot 2026
- •Auto industry volatility