8/10
Viability Score
8/10
Urgency Score
8/10
Infrastructure
72
DNC Delegates
House / Assembly
27
Dem
33
GOP
GOP ControlMajority: 31 seats
Senate
13
Dem
17
GOP
GOP ControlMajority: 16 seats
Path to Power
Seats from Majority
+4
Seats from Trifecta
+7
Strategic Context
7 seats from trifecta. LUCHA knocked 1M doors. Gallego Senate win shows coalition strength. Abortion rights ballot measure energized base.
Path to Victory
LUCHA door-knocking in Maricopa. Target LD-2 and LD-4 Senate. Abortion + democracy messaging.
Key Target Districts
LD-2
-1.2%Senate flip target
Maricopa competitive
LD-4
-2.5%House flip pair
East Valley
LD-9
-3.1%Trending Dem
Tempe area
LD-13
-2.8%Expansion target
Tucson suburbs
Organizing Infrastructure
Labor Unions
- UNITE HERE Local 11
- Arizona Education Association
- SEIU AZ
Grassroots Orgs
- LUCHA (Living United for Change in Arizona)
- Mi Familia Vota
- Chispa AZ
Key Organizations
- LUCHA
- Mi Familia Vota
- AZ Wins
DSA Presence
No DSA Chapter
Risk Factors
- •Border politics
- •Phoenix growth changing demographics
- •Maricopa County sheriff races